Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.637397 0.821519 1.029366 1.278514 1.566215 1.885301 2.263208
2025-07-13 0.384341 0.610902 0.901018 1.286545 1.772435 2.352276 3.084076
2025-07-20 0.231530 0.463055 0.800330 1.293319 1.962694 2.809469 3.930617
2025-07-27 0.128261 0.337725 0.689614 1.255253 2.078075 3.173395 4.682902
2025-08-03 0.067723 0.247400 0.599569 1.220520 2.182010 3.519340 5.424621
2025-08-10 0.036617 0.192192 0.547441 1.227814 2.337910 3.937267 6.275511
2025-08-17 0.015907 0.138997 0.477688 1.187998 2.411286 4.236425 6.972240
2025-08-24 0.008444 0.117933 0.466535 1.246346 2.639101 4.764969 8.002716
2025-08-31 0.003141 0.091528 0.430953 1.250054 2.773939 5.158522 8.852833
2025-09-07 0.001435 0.081755 0.434725 1.330590 3.041310 5.760095 10.016583
2025-09-14 0.000428 0.069675 0.426165 1.382732 3.260851 6.294517 11.095785
2025-09-21 0.000042 0.056334 0.406371 1.406040 3.428627 6.752295 12.072595
2025-09-28 NaN 0.039881 0.364951 1.374762 3.498631 7.065231 12.855564
2025-10-05 NaN 0.030996 0.346836 1.395012 3.664821 7.537761 13.890159
2025-10-12 NaN 0.023440 0.327638 1.408327 3.817263 7.991891 14.906950
2025-10-19 NaN 0.015091 0.292310 1.371081 3.866597 8.276277 15.670420
2025-10-26 NaN 0.009223 0.260749 1.335756 3.914737 8.557727 16.433495
2025-11-02 NaN 0.006266 0.245533 1.344341 4.051974 8.992624 17.442602
2025-11-09 NaN 0.003217 0.216546 1.302371 4.078370 9.236489 18.155781
2025-11-16 NaN 0.002595 0.219271 1.364714 4.331897 9.880539 19.511910
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001477 0.205826 1.368775 4.457623 10.303476 20.523581
2025-11-30 NaN 0.001330 0.214928 1.454499 4.768350 11.059450 22.078144
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000979 0.215702 1.509940 5.013419 11.703846 23.462883